Climate risk profile for: Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesia

Abstract

The likelihood (i.e., probability) components of climate-related risks in the Cook Islands are evaluated, for both present-day and future conditions. Changes into the future reflect the influence of global warming. The risk events for which current and future likelihoods are evaluated are extreme rainfall events (both hourly and daily), drought, high sea levels, strong winds, and extreme high air temperatures. Tropical cyclone frequencies over the past century are also examined. Some climate-related human health and infrastructure risks are also investigated.